Ukraine is relying on a familiar strategy of letting Russian forces overextend themselves without adequate support, a tactic that has been observed repeatedly during the ongoing conflict. Prior to the 2022 invasion, Ukrainian troops stationed in the Donbas region were well aware of their orders as they prepared for the anticipated Russian assault.
Despite facing numerical disadvantages and limited resources, Ukrainian soldiers understood the importance of strategic thinking. They were instructed to initially defend their positions but to allow Russian forces to advance if they became overwhelmed. The plan was straightforward, as one soldier explained: “We must allow them to enter and then flank their positions to eliminate them.”
This approach has proven effective in many instances, with Russia once again appearing to push beyond its limits and prematurely celebrating victories. While Moscow’s troops have made progress in Pokrovsk, with reports of several hundred soldiers inside the city, their advances have been slow in the broader context of the conflict. Hindered by corruption and disrupted supply chains due to Ukrainian drone strikes, Russian forces have faced strong resistance from Ukrainian troops, who have successfully outmaneuvered them on numerous occasions.
Intelligence from Ukraine indicates that Russia’s efforts to reinforce its presence in Ukraine have encountered setbacks, particularly in economically disadvantaged and remote regions such as the Republic of Sakha. Poor living conditions and low wages have deterred many potential recruits, leading to a significant shortfall in meeting Moscow’s recruitment targets. This shortfall reflects growing discontent among local residents and weariness from the prolonged conflict, now entering its fourth year.
Throughout the war, Ukraine has demonstrated resilience against an ineffective and inept Russian military. Recent reaffirmations of support from UK Prime Minister Keir Starmer underline the unwavering backing of Britain for Kyiv’s defense against Russia’s aggressive actions and human rights violations.
Adapting to evolving circumstances, Ukraine has adeptly utilized high-tech drones and developed its missile capabilities as needed. The inability of Russian commanders to provide accurate assessments to President Putin, highlighting the transient nature of their gains, may ultimately lead to their downfall.
